I will preface this preview by saying that everyone and their dog are on the Bills this week, which never ends up well. In fact, I haven’t heard of a single person on the Chiefs, and the line hasn’t moved at all. The Bills marched into Arrowhead back in Week 5 and won handily 38-20. Buffalo has been the more consistent team this year and is coming off slaying the AFC East dragon by eliminating the Patriots from the playoffs in convincing fashion. So why isn’t this line coming back down towards Buffalo? Is it because the Chiefs are the reigning AFC champions and deserve the respect? Probably. For the first time in several seasons, the Chiefs are looked at as disorganized and inconsistent. How often would we be touting a road underdog to come in and beat the Chiefs straight up in the playoffs before this year? Last week against Pittsburgh, the Chiefs showcased Jerrick McKinnon, Demarcus Robinson, and Byron Pringle. Giving Mahomes these options when Kelce and Hill are taken out of the game by the double teams is going to be key in defeating Buffalo. On the flip side, I don’t really see how the Chiefs can stop Josh Allen right now the way he has been playing. The total of 53.5 means Vegas and bettors expect this to be a shootout. I beg to differ. We could see fireworks in the second half, but I think the first half will be tentative, with both teams not wanting to make a mistake. I like the Under 53.5 as my best bet. Kick off is Sunday January 23 at 6:30 pm ET on CBS.
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