NFL Super Bowl LVIII

Kickoff: Sunday February 11th @ 6:30pm ET

After 18 weeks of the regular season and three weeks of the playoffs, we have our matchup for Super Bowl 58: the Kansas City Chiefs and the San Francisco 49ers. Perhaps it should come as no surprise that the best team in the regular season is facing the best quarterback of our generation. It is also a rematch of Super Bowl 54 which the Chiefs won 31-20. 

Of course, this weekend’s game is a much different situation. Last time it was quarterback Jimmy Garopollo under center for the 49ers. They also didn’t have superstar running back Christian McCaffrey or star wide receiver Brandon Aiyuk. Finally, they now have all-pro left tackle Trent Williams to protect the new quarterback Brock Purdy. 

On the Chiefs’ side of the ball, the noticeable absence is of superstar wide receiver Tyreek Hill. This season we saw the Kansas City offense struggle to put up points although so far in the playoffs it has seen success. The focus of the offence is now on tight end Travis Kelce, rookie wide receiver Rashee Rice, and running back Isiaih Pacheco. 

The easy bet on this game is to take Patrick Mahomes as an underdog. Despite public money coming in all over the Chiefs, the line has stayed at -2.0 for the 49ers. Sharp bettors are backing the 49ers so far who have had the better regular season and arguably have a much better all-around roster. 

The key to this game will be San Francisco’s defence. The offence will put up points even against this stellar Kansas City defence. But the 49ers have been carved up by both the Packers and the Lions in the playoffs and have been unable to stop the run. Pacheco has been utilized heavily by Kansas City this year and when you add in the ability for Mahomes to scramble, it’s easy to doubt this 49ers run defence. 

San Francisco needs its defensive line to show up. If it can’t get any pressure on Mahomes then the game is over. They will need to take advantage of the likely absence of Joe Thuney up front, which might make it easier for San Francisco’s strong pass rush to get home. On the offensive side of the ball, the 49ers will need a strong start from Brock Purdy. Both playoff games saw late comebacks but they likely won’t get that opportunity against Kansas City. It will need to be a full, error-free game by the 49ers if they want any chance of going toe-to-toe with Mahomes. 

Our Bet: The Under -47.5

The game itself is a toss-up. It wouldn’t surprise anyone if either team won by margin. But both teams also have tendencies that lean to the under. This includes not going for it on fourth downs, kicking field goals, and running the ball which can eat up the clock. The 49ers will certainly have a run-heavy gameplan and it looks like that’s where the Chiefs can also beat San Francisco. Expect the clock to be winding down and for this game to be a close one that stays under the 47.5 points in Las Vegas. 

Try betting this one at Sports Betting Offshore Sportsbook. Not well known, but woth a look!.