1. Place Your Bet Based on Where the Game is Played
Before you place your bets, do your research by comparing each team’s record on home and away fields. In some cases, it has been proven that home-fields provide greater leverage to some teams, and it provides a bigger advantage in certain stadiums. A good example would be the New England Patriots perform exceptionally well at home with a 69-11 record at home as opposed to 58-30 on the road from 2010-2019.
They also won 17 straight regular-season home games at the Gillette stadium.
Some teams don’t perform well away from home. The San Francisco 49ers had a poor 9-31 record away from home, which is the third-worst in the league. It also helps to know when and where the teams played in the weeks leading up to a match before you place your bets.
2. NFL Spread Betting
The most popular and effective form of NFL betting is spread-based. This is relatively straightforward, in that, bookmakers set a spread with an underdog and a favorite. To win this bet, one team has to cover the spread - so if the spread is -8 in favor of the Patriots over the Chiefs, the Patriots have to win by at least 8 points.
Similarly, in order for the Chiefs to cover the spread, they must win or lose by less than 8 points.
3. Dig Deep into Trends
When it comes to betting on NFL games, following the trends isn’t enough. You also have to uncover the reasons behind each trend. For example, just because a team scored 48 points the previous week doesn’t mean that its offense has improved dramatically. Take a look at how the points were scored. Perhaps the defensive back fell down to allow a long touchdown pass. Maybe the defense scored a few of those touchdowns. The most effective bettors will always dig deeper behind those numbers.
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4. Check Up On Injury Reports
Football is a game where every small change matters and could decide the outcome of the entire match. Make sure you look into things like team injury reports (double-check Twitter accounts of journalists who check up on each team for more verification). Lookup reports on which players missed essential practice during the week, what their status is for the upcoming game, and the role they play on the team.
5. Bet With Your Brain, Not Your Heart
This may sound obvious, but avoiding emotion when betting remains a challenge for many experienced betters. Everyone has their personal biases going into each game. Whether it’s a team we hate or a team we love, putting aside these preferences is tough enough. But it also happens to be the easiest thing you could do. A winning bet doesn’t always require detailed strategy, only common sense.
Success with NFL betting ultimately hinges on how much time and research you put into each of your bets and how you manage your bankroll effectively.