NFC Championship: Green Bay Packer vs San Francisco 49ers

NFL Sunday: January 18, 2020 @ 6:40pm ET

The NFC Championship game will be the last game played before the Super Bowl. The San Francisco 49ers will host the Green Bay Packers. Both teams finished with 13-3 records, but the 49ers won the tie breaker over the Packers because they beat them back on November 28th at home, 37-8. This time around, the game should be much closer. San Francisco is a 7.5 point home favorite, and the over/under is 45 points. SF is -360 with the money line, and GB is +260. I get why Kansas City Chiefs are a big favorite over the Tennessee Titans over in the AFC with the Titans being the 6th seed, but seeing how both these NFC teams had the same record, good for 1-2 in the conference, I would take a chance on Green Bay at +260 just because those are pretty high odds for a 13-3 team who was 2nd in the conference, even if they are playing on the road.

I always say it is hard to beat the same team twice in a season, especially when that team is not in your division. But according to the ESPN Match-up Predictor, San Francisco has a 71.9% chance of winning the game. SF is just 4-4-1 at home against the spread, and Green Bay is 5-3 on the road ATS. Green Bay QB Aaron Rodgers is 0-2 against the 49ers in the playoffs, but the GB offense is much better than it was in week 12 when they lost to San Francisco, and Rodgers played well against the Seahawks last week.

This game might be determined by the Pack's O-line against Frisco's pass-rush, and I think that the 49ers pass rush will prove to be too much, but I don't think the 49ers will win by more than 7 points. Kickoff is at 3:40 pm PT from San Francisco (Santa Clara).