The AFC game will be played first this Sunday when the Kansas City Chiefs, the #2 seed, will host the #6 seed Tennessee Titans. The Titans didn't even look like a playoff contender a few months ago, but they finished the season strong, and put together back-2-back road playoff wins against the #3 Patriots, and the top-seeded Baltimore Ravens. Despite the two impressive wins, they are a 7.5 point road underdog Sunday. The over/under is 52 points. The Titans are +285 with the money line, and the Chiefs are -350. KC has over a 75% chance of winning according to the ESPN Match-up Predictor.
The Chiefs looked like they wouldn't be playing in the AFC Championship game after trailing Houston 24-0, but they came back to take a 28-24 halftime lead, and never looked back on their way to a 51-31 victory. For the Chiefs, this is the first time in franchise history they are in the AFC Championship game in back-2-back years, and for the Titans, this is first time they have won two playoff games in a season since they reached the Super Bowl back in 1999. Regardless of the winner, I think this game goes under 52 points. They key for the Titans would have to be their star RB Henry, who is now the all-time playoff rushing leader in yards through the first-4 post-season games.
In the end, I think it will be very difficult for the Titans to win 3 road playoff games, against the #3 seed, #1 seed, and #2 seed back-to-back-to-back. Kansas City became the first team to win by at least 20 points after trailing by as many points, and Mahomes is a much better QB than Tannehill. Even if the Chiefs' D can't stop Henry and he goes off again, KC has too much fire-power where they will be able to answer for him, and quickly. Remember they scored three TDs in like 3 minutes last week, so I will look for the Chiefs to make it to the Super Bowl, and they win by more than 7.5 points. Kickoff is Sunday at 12:05 pm PT from Kansas City.