Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers

Thursday September 26, 2019

The Green Bay Packers will look to keep their undefeated season alive when they host the struggling Philadelphia Eagles on Thursday night. The Packers are 3-0, and sit atop the NFC North, while the Eagles are 1-2, and things don't look like they will get any easier Thursday in Green Bay. The Pack are always tough to beat at home, especially when the visitors are travelling in short rest, and for this game they have a 63% chance of winning according to the ESPN Power Index. GB is a 4.5 point favorite, and the over/under is 45.5 points. The Eagles have played close games this year, losing their last two by 4 and 3 points, but they were against the Falcons and Lions, so they haven't had really any tough competition this year. For the Packers, this will be their 3rd home game in their first 4 games, and they will have played 5 home games in their first 7 games, so they have a good chance of getting out to a nice lead in their division, and even conference.

But then they'll have to play 6 of their final 9 games on the road. GB has been playing some pretty solid defense thus far, holding the bears to just a field goal, and the Vikings and Broncos to 16 points each. Their offense started slow in the Chicago game, scoring just 10 points, but then they put up 21 and 27 so I think they are starting to get into their rhythm. Philadelphia was favored their first 3 games, but failed to cover the spread in any of those games, and so now they open as underdogs for the first time this season. So far this year, the visiting teams are 2-1 on Thursday night. I think with all the Eagles' injuries, and the way GB has been playing on defense this year, the Green Bay will move to 4-0 and dig the Eagles into an already bigger hole than they are currently in but it will probably be closer than 4.5 points, so I like the Eagles to cover the spread as underdogs.