The NBA finals are all set. The Golden State Warriors will be playing in their 5th straight finals, and the Toronto Raptors will be playing in their first ever. Toronto dropped its first two games in the Eastern finals against the Milwaukee Bucks, but they bounced back and won four straight to take the East. But will they have enough to overcome the Warriors? The past 4 years, the Warriors faced the Cavaliers in the finals. They won the first year, lost the second, and have won the past 2, and now are looking for the coveted 3-peat. The good news for Toronto is that since they won one more regular season game than Golden State, they will get home court advantage.
The second bit of good news for Toronto is that Golden State will be without Kevin Durant at least for the first game. Despite having the better record, the Raptors are +240 underdogs in the series. Golden State is -280 with the money line for the series. The consensus seems to be that the Warriors will win in 6 games. Game one tips off Thursday, and for the first game, Toronto is a one point favorite, and the over/under is 215 points. I think if the Warriors can win game one on the road, without KD, then the series is pretty much theirs. They may even rest KD until they lose a game.
But if the Raptors win game one, I don't think the series is necessarily theirs. Golden State will still have a chance to even the series on the road, thus gaining home court advantage, and they will get Durant back. Besides home court, the Raptors also will be playing with a bit of an edge as they are seeking their first ever finals. In my opinion, they will come out at home with a lot of energy and heart as they look to bring the championship home to Toronto. The Warriors will be playing in their fifth straight finals, and while I am sure the thought of a 3-peat is enticing, I think a team looking for their first championship will be just a bit more hungrier, especially when they have a chance to knock off the defending champs. So to me, Toronto at +240 with home court advantage and no KD game one is a steal.