AFC Championship: New England Patriots vs Kansas City Chiefs

NFL Football Playoffs: Sunday 1/20/2019

We'll know soon enough which two teams will be playing for Super Bowl LIII. The New Orleans Saints host the Los Angeles Rams in the Sunday early-afternoon game, and the winner of that will play either the New England Patriots or the Kansas City Chiefs two weeks later.

The New England Patriots and Kansas City Chiefs met back in week 6 in New England, when the Pats won 43-40, and handed the Chiefs their first loss of the season. But this time, the game will be played in Kansas City, where the Chiefs are 7-1 this year- 8-1 including last week's playoff win against the Colts. The Chiefs are currently a 3 point favorite, and the over/under is 56 points. And this very well could be another 3 point game. I thought the playoffs might get to Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes last week as he was starting his first ever playoff game, but it didn't faze him one bit. While he didn't throw a touchdown in that playoff game last week, he did run for one to go along with his 278 passing yards.

I don't think he goes another game without throwing a TD this week. Brady is the guy who has been there-done that. This is his what? 8th consecutive AFC Championship game, and 13th all-time. He is 8-4 in these games by the way.  Tom Brady has the records for most playoff games, playoff wins, and playoff games with 300+ yards passing, and it's not even a close second. But as great as Brady is in the regular and post season, he only has 3 road payoff wins in 7 tries.

Of those 4 losses, 3 games were in Denver, and 3 games were against Peyton Manning (2 while Peyton was with Denver), so that is a little bit of good news for Patriot fans. Patriot's coach Bill Bellichick is 6-2 against the Chief's coach Andy Reid (2-0 in the playoffs), and Reid is just 1-4 in Conference Championship games. For me, it is hard to go against the duo- perhaps the greatest coaching-QB duo ever- in Bellichick and Brady, and for that reason I am going with the Patriots to win this one outright.