Monday night, the NFL will conclude week 14 in a big NFC playoff implication game when the Seattle Seahawks host the Minnesota Vikings. Seattle is only a 3 point home favorite in this one, which surprises me because the ESPN Power Index gives them a 65.5% chance to win the game. Usually, the home team will get an automatic 3 points in the spread, so the odds makers see this game very close. Seattle is -170 with the money line and Minnesota is +145. The over/under is sitting at 45.5 points.
Minnesota Vikings are 6-5-1 in the NFC North, good for 2nd place behind the Chicago Bears, but there is still 4 weeks of football to be played, and a lot can happen in a month; almost a quarter of the season still to be played. Seattle has played well over this past month. They lost at the Rams a month ago in a close 36-31 game, but have since won 3 in a row; good for a 7-5 overall record. They are just 3-2 at home, though, a place where normally they are much better.
The Viking's last month or so has been a sea-saw. After winning 3 in a row, they went L- W- L- W- L. They beat the bad teams, 49ers, Jets, Cardinals, Packers and Lions- Ok and The Eagles, and lost to the better teams, Rams, Saints, Bears, and Patriots, and OK- the Bills. The Rams and Saints already have 2 of the 6 NFC playoff spots locked, so that leaves 4 left. As of right now, the Seahawks hold the 5th seed and the Vikings the 6th, but like I said, a lot can happen in a month.
I just think right now Seattle has been on a roll, and will continue that roll into the playoffs. The Vikings next get the Dolphins and Lions before closing it out with the Bears, so if they can win 3 of 4 I think they can squeeze into the playoffs, but probably won't go too deep in the playoffs. In this one, I like Seattle to win a close one, and I think the over will come in.