There's one college football game Saturday, December 8th, and it will pit two of our nation's finest against each other when the Army Knights host the Navy Midshipmen. Army has had a really good season this year going 9-2, (a win gets them 10 for the 2nd year in a row) and the Navy...not so much at 3-9 (their first losing season since 2002.) The Army is a 7 point favorite and the over/under is 40 points. Both teams are just ok against the spread. Navy is 4-7-1 and Army is a little better at 6-4-1, but it's worth noting Army has covered the spread in 6 of the past 7 games against Navy.
Army is -275 with the money line, and Navy is +225. For the Army, this is the first time they have been favored since 2001. Army is averaging just over 30 points per game, in large part to their passing game. They average 10.5 yards per attempt, which is only behind Alabama and Oklahoma, both playoff teams. Army actually took Oklahoma to overtime earlier in the year, but ultimately fell short. Army has a 77% chance of winning this game based on the ESPN Football Power Index, and I have little doubt they will win, and when they do, it will be 3 in a row against Navy for the first time in 20 years.
But will they cover the spread? It seems so, except that despite the records, these teams will always give it their best effort against each other. Both probably will rely on the run, which will make the game go by quickly, resulting in a low scoring game I believe. I think the game ends in a tie actually with the spread, something like 21-14.