This Monday, the New Orleans Saints host the Detroit Lions. Both these teams will not make the playoffs this year. The Saints can finish the season at .500 if they win out their next three games. The Saints are a 3 point favorite for this one. They are -147 with the money line. Detroit is +127. The over/under is at 51 points at this point.
The Lions have just one road win this season. ESPN has the Saints at a 54.9% chance of winning this game according to their Football Power Index. The Lions are just 4-9 against the spread this year- the same as their regular record. They are 3-6 as the underdog and 2-4 as the away team against the spread. The Saints are 6-6-1 against the spread. They are 1-3-1 as the favorite and 3-2-1 as the home team.
The Saints are coming off a win last week against Tampa, but had previously lost the last four before that. Detroit is coming off two losses after winning the previous three before that. With not much at stake for both teams, I expect lots of big offensive attempts and less defense, leading to the score to go over 51 points. As far as who wins, I think it really is a 50-50 coin toss. The Saints are at home, and are coming off a win, so I would take them to win, and if they do, the probably cover he three point spread.