Oklahoma Sooners vs Baylor Bears Saturday 11-14-2015

With the total sitting at 76, 3 point favorite Bears take on Oklahoma Sooners

Undefeated Baylor (8-0) hosts 8-1 Oklahoma in a Big 12 Conference match up this Saturday. Oklahoma's lone loss came against Texas a month ago by a score of 24-17. This game will be a nail biter. Baylor is favored by a slight 2.5 points. They are -135 with the money line, and OK is +115. They figure this game will be a shootout as the over /under is 77 points. Only Houston has a lower strength of schedule than Baylor and are also undefeated.

This game will come down to defensive stops and turnovers. The Sooners have the ability to slow the game down. The Bears put up a lot of points, but only when the game is moving fast. I think OK will limit the Bear's offense. That, coupled with the fact that this game has huge Big 12 Conference stakes on the line, makes me think 77 points is a little too high, and this game will go under. I look for the Sooners to blitz the Bear's true freshman QB often. If this game stays close, OK's quick-strike offense will come out on top, but if Baylor can get a few scores ahead, I think they will be able to hang on for the victory.

ESPN has the Bears at a 58.1% chance of winning this game. I think the Bears can win this game if they play the best game of their season. Being at home will help, but my hunch is OK will win outright. This game kicks off at 5:00 PT.