This Monday night, the Washington Redskins host the Dallas Cowboys. While this has a lot of playoff implications, it is also the last game of the regular fantasy football season in most fantasy leagues. Washington is 5-6, and all 5 of their wins have come at home. For Dallas, QB Tony Romo is out for the rest of the season with a broken collarbone. WR Dez Bryant is probable. Both of these teams’ records are the same as their record against the spread.
The Redskins are favored by 5 points, which isn’t too many considering the Cowboys are beat up, and since the game is in Washington, where the Redskins have been playing so well this year (their only home loss came week 1 against Miami). But this is a big rivalry game nonetheless. At 5-6, the Redskins are tied for first in the NFC East with New York. Dallas is 3-8, but only two games out of first place. The winner of this division this year could easily be a sub-500 team. Washington has a 52.5% chance of winning this game according to the ESPN Football Power Index. Washington is -220 with the money line, and Dallas is +180.
The over/under is rather low at 42 points. Just judging by the pattern of the Redskins this year, it seems as if they will lose this game. They have an L,W,L,W,L,L,W,L,W,L,W. So it looks as if another L is looming for them. Dallas does have a capable backup QB in Matt Cassel, and I think he can keep them in this game. I might go out on a little limb and say the Cowboys win this game and make the NFC East race a little more interesting. But then again, Dallas hasn’t won this season when Romo didn’t start. If Dallas doesn’t win, I think they at least will win with the 5 points.