The Cincinnati Bengals have their undefeated 7-0 record on the line when they host the Cleveland Browns this Thursday night in Cincy. Bengals QB Andy Dalton hopes he doesn’t have a similar game as last year’s Thursday night matchup against the Browns, when he had a 2.0 QB rating.
The Bengals are scoring just over four touchdowns per game, at 28.3 points, while allowing opponents to only 18.9 points per game. The Browns are an 11.5 point underdog in this game. The over/under is 46.5 points. The Bengals are -525, and the Browns are +415 with the money line. There is an 80.7% chance of a Bengals victory according to the ESPN Football Power Index. Cincy is 6-0-1 against the spread this year. They are 4-0-1 as the favorite and 2-0-1 as the home team.
So they have not only struggled to win, but they have some difficulty just covering the point spread as well. I say why bet against a streak. The Bengals will in all likelihood win this game, but at -525, that's not too attractive. 11.5 points is a lot to cover, but they haven't lost this year against the spread, and I think they can keep the streak alive. The only thing that worries me is the short 4 day rest in between games, but since both teams have the same disadvantage, I stand by them covering the spread.
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