This Thursday, the New England Patriots look to keep their undefeated season alive(6-0) as they host the Miami Dolphins, who are 3-3. The Pats are heavily favored in this game. They are currently favored at -9 points.They are -350 with the money line, and the Dolphins are +290. The over/under is 51 right now. Miami is riding a two-game winning streak heading into Thursday’s contest, and they are coming off a big win against the Texans in Miami, 44-26. But The Pats have the advantage in this game according to the ESPN Football Power Index, where they show an 81.8% chance of a New England Victory. So far this year, New England is 3-1-2 against the spread while Miami is 3-3.
New England is 2-1-2 as the favorite while Miami is 1-1 as the underdog. And New England is 1-0-2 as the home team while Miami is 2-1 as the visitors. These two teams are pretty close in points allowed per game. NE is currently giving up 21 PPG while Miami is yielding 22.8 PPG. But the Pats are outscoring the Dolphins on average of 11 more points per game, 35.5 to 24.5. Kickoff is 8:25 ET in MA, and the weather should be warm at about 70 degrees, but there is rain in the forecast. That usually means slippery footballs, fumbles, etc., which could lead to the total points scored being less than 51. I would keep an eye on the forecast in the coming days if you plan to take the over/under. I’m confident New England will run their streak to 7-0, and I think they cover the 9 point spread as well.
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