The Atlanta Falcons are the hottest team in football right now. They take their undefeated 5-0 record to New Orleans this Thursday as they take on their NFC South division rival Saints, who are not so hot at 1-4. Falcons WR Julio Junes, who did not practice Monday is uncertain for Thursday’s matchup due to a hamstring injury. He leads the team with 43 receptions for 545 yards, and 4 TD’s. He trails only Houston’s DeAndre Hopkins, who leads the league with 578 receiving yards. They still have RB Devonta Freeman, who currently is in a 2nd place 3-way tie for rushing yards at 405.
Atlanta is putting up over 32 points per game on average, which ranks 3rd best in the NFL, and even if Jones doesn’t go I would say this game will go over, despite the over/under being high at 50.5. The total has gone under in 4 of 6 of New Orleans’ last home games. The under has also gone under in 6 of 8 of Atlanta’s last road games. New Orleans is 2-5 in its last 7 games against the spread.
Atlanta is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games. The line is currently Atlanta -3. New Orleans can rise to the occasion at home, especially on a Nationally televised game as this will be, but they are 29th in rushing offense, and 29th in points against, so they are pretty dismal on both sides of the ball, despite Drew Brees being their QB. Atlanta is coming of a sloppy win in overtime against the Redskins thanks to a pick-6, so I think they will be sharper this wek and easily cover the 3 point spread.
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